Monday, August 09, 2004


Where the electoral college votes stand today

The Rasmussen Reports maintains a handy chart that makes for easy visualization of the projections for the Electoral College votes. Their current call: Kerry, 232; Bush, 197; Toss-up, 109. The winner must receive 270 votes.

One interesting feature revealed by the chart is that of the 8 states that are considered to be toss-ups, 6 of them went for Bush in 2000, and only 2 went for Gore. So the Democrats have 28 votes at risk, and Bush has 81.

If you have nothing to do today, you can go play with the Electoral College vote calculator to test out various outcomes. If Kerry carries 2 out of the 3 toss-up states with 20 or more electoral college votes—Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio—he doesn't need to look any further, but if Bush wins all 3, he's still 5 votes short.

Prediction: The Florida popular vote will go to Kerry. Whether he gets the Electoral College votes is, as we all know, another matter.

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